Men Are Officially Functionally Obsolete

Our crack scientific minds, beaverishly working to better our brave new world and society, have developed a way to grow functional sperm in a lab:

The sperm cells made in an artificial “bioreactor” look identical to those produced naturally. The technology could be used in two to four years to help infertile men have their own biological children, according to researchers based at a French national research institute in Lyon.

I’m sure we can depend on this group to be just as diligent in the recreation of oocytes, but in the meantime, men are biologically obsolete. Need to get pregnant? Mail-order some sperm. Don’t like hubby’s genes? Get your local drug store to give you something better.

Note: Biologically obsolete in the sense of strictly reproduction – Men will still be characteristically different from women in aptitudes and proclivities, and will continue to keep everyone out of grass huts.

What this means is that the companionate model of marriage centered around romantic love will actually be the dominant model of marriage in a few years (or decades, whichever) through purely functional forces. After all, once eggs and sperm can be manufactured (probably to order, to boot), and a human or mechanical surrogate system is in place, what need have we to consider reproduction in our interpersonal social order at all? The system of marriage will become purely about how people make each other feel and an economic arrangement to share living expenses (including baby-rearing, although since the default family model is child-support, this is not an essential consideration except for the man).

This is on the cusp of literally manufacturing people.

The idea that children are a natural (and indeed, the ultimate) outcome of marriage will be obsolete, and we’ll see the type of society once only written about in science-fiction, where “old fashioned” people have children the “old fashioned” way, and families are intensely regulated.

Quantifying Effective Sex Ratios

Should one want a serious relationship culminating in a permanent marriage, and should one be a male in today’s America, one must ask: What are the odds of me finding someone eligible for marriage?

Today’s popular messaging bombards younger men with conflicting messages: Sexy ladies everywhere in TV shows, ads, movies, popular culture… while at the same time pushing messages of acceptance, “man up”, and various other mechanisms to get men to pull the trigger on marriage. This has been well documented at Dalrock, Heartiste, Alphagame, et al. (see side links)

Heartiste, in particular, made the astute observation that obesity has had severely deleterious effects on the dating/mating landscape. To wit:

Which brings me to my theory: Game has been refined, taught and embraced by men in direct proportion to the shrinking pool of attractive thin girls. As the reduced supply of skinny chicks have seen their sexual market value skyrocket, they have adjusted by pricing their pussy out of reach for the average guy.

Etc. This led me to wonder what the actual numbers look like for sex ratios (ratios of M/F) for eligible women. We will stick with Obesity as the defining eligibility (disqualifying) characteristic for time being, and make a couple assumptions:

1) Social misfit-ism is equally disqualifying for both sexes (not quite true, but maybe they pair up together)

2) Obesity is much more disqualifying for women than men. I assume that all obese women are disqualified, and only a fraction for men. This is (or should be) a commonly accepted truth, and the preponderance of fat-acceptance propaganda suggests that women inherently know this. If it was as bad for men as women, I suspect we’d see a whole other set of media messaging centered around how men should get off their asses and work for women.

3) I disregarded looks, education, earnings, social ability, etc  from these figures. Initially, I’d decided to disqualify any women who were <3s on the 1-10 scale, as well as determining a male ineligibility metric, but decided that I could net out both male equivalents and women for simplicity, notwithstanding that men can improve in that SMV area significantly, and women can do so only marginally. So I stuck with obesity as the only disqualifier, because otherwise the numbers go down a rabbit hole.

As usual, this is a ballpark and not intended to get 3 significant figures of accuracy.

Behold, Excel and various government data sources (from 2010 census):

Women1

Notice that the effective Sex Ratio is approximately 12% higher than China’s  with its one-child-murder-your-daughters policy. Obesity by itself, and even given some flex in the numbers, has resulted in a worse sex ratio than a policy that was designed to reduce the population and which resulted in a ratio of 1.2.

People have been speculating about things like war due to China’s M-F imbalance, and lack of available women to marry. What about here in the US? Must be something to do with only 5M men being unable to find suitable mates, instead of 60M, but this is still a terrible landscape to deal with, given that the natural human sex ratio is 1.01 (101:100).

If you want to talk about the marriage strike, if you want to talk about men not responding to incentives to work, there’s the fact right here: There are simply not enough truly eligible women out there, and taking one of the fatties is a non-starter for many men. This is even disregarding any cultural barriers to marriage.

If you believe that 60% of all adults are overweight, and hold that overweight doesn’t diminish men’s marketability as much as it does womens’ , then the ratio grows even more stark. This does not bode well for anyone trying to actually find a wife, and suggests that 30% of men are currently SOL from the get-go.

Right Facts, Wrong Conclusions: Millionaire dating

There is a dating crisis facing rich women today.

This article correctly notes that

the vast majority of millionaire men, 79.6 percent, seek out non-millionaire women, while 84.5 percent of the female millionaires would prefer to date another millionaire.

Women want to date a status equal-or-better? That status is measured in dollars? You don’t say!

Obsession with significant digits aside, it goes on to mis-attribute the cause:

“one of the reasons rich men don’t want to date rich women is because they want a partner they can take care of.”

Obviously bunk. Men, internet article and survey confessionals aside, do want to be providers, but that’s not the primary driver of partner suitability. Otherwise, there’d be a hot dating market for homeless, mentally unstable, alcoholic mothers. That being empirically not the case, we are forced to search for other reasons that men want to date women other than millionaires.

Fortunately, this article can be easily fixed by correcting that sentence to this:

“one of the reasons rich men don’t want to date rich women is because they want the most attractive partner they can get, and millionaire women tend, on balance, not to be attractive 20-somethings.”

I’m a bit incredulous that the author didn’t index the study against relative male and female attractiveness. We can also dispel the myth of men being ready to victimize women at the drop of the hat. As Dalrock noted, women are more likely to divorce to upgrade than men are. That might also account for this little behavioral quirk:

Eighty-two percent of the female respondents said they would insist on a prenuptial agreement, while only 17.4 percent of the male respondents would do the same.

Reading this article made me think of trying to teach someone to drive a car without informing them of the gas pedal. Sooner or later, someone will start asking “so what?” about these oh-so-interesting factoids.

Unfortunately for women, with a reported 63% of North American millionaires being men and 37% being women, the women have a big problem:

millionaires

Overall eligible female millionaires outnumber eligible male millionaires (eligible defined as “wanting to date other millionaires”) by 2.5/1. Uh oh!

Hypergamy is for the little people. Until it’s not.

Mainlining, pt Deux: Marry young

This piece–The Case For Marrying Young–is borderline heretical, and by a woman, no less:

“It can be beneficial to make marriage the cornerstone, rather than the capstone, of your adult life.”

A lot of female 28-year-old MBA students are going to read that with quick indignation and vague disquiet and unease. They didn’t compromise their checklist trophy life marriage script for a success story bait-and-switch, did they?

Sadly, most of those 28-year-olds women can’t go back in time, and if–if–they experience any regret about their choices, those lessons will likely fall on deaf ears as the up-and-coming future Ms.ters of the Universe make the same decisions.

And dating 19-year-olds is only something creepy men do, right? (Which leads to another thought–if dating 19 year olds is predatory and creepy, as many women and White Knights complain, then that implies that the 19 year olds are vulnerable and naive. Would love to have someone draw the line that delineates when women transition from being Naive, Vulnerable Girls to Strong Independent Career Women. When are these girls responsible for their own choices, exactly?)

This article did a great job tracing the evolution of marriage–quite sensibly, given most discourse that occurs on the subject–from the economic rationalist institution that it was into the “feelings” institution it is now. The author calls it the “companionate” model. Right on. Without that framing, most discussions of marriage now–from regular ol’ nuptials to gay marriage–has the arguers talking right past each other without even knowing it because the fundamental assumptions of why marriage exists are completely different.

They make those decisions because marriage gets bad press. It’s seen among many younger women as “boring” or “adult.” It’s popularly shown as something that means you can’t have fun anymore. And it’s made much less attractive through the cultural devaluation of men–why would anyone want to be attached to one of them? See also: most popular media involving a married man. (Challenge: Find a contemporary TV show in which the man is married, masculine, in charge, and depicted positively.)

It can be framed another way–it allows people to not worry about finding someone later on, and to have someone to share those life experiences with. (More in my alley, this constitutes an economic analysis–the costs of all the time, effort, and money spent chasing a permanent relationship (marriage) is greatly reduced by marrying early. That’s some serious opportunity costs averted, if you redirect all those resources to achieving things.) And then you don’t have to tell stories about your 20s or 30s that no one but you can really understand.

Those stories are fun while you’re with the people who were around when in progress, but as soon as you move on, the stories become pointless to everyone else.

Of course, this lesson will likely be ignored, because the allure of being in control and attractive outweighs the long-term benefits discussed in the article. Because being single in your 20s is “fun.”

On Men at Aurora

Unless you’ve been living in a cave in Siberia for the past week or so, you are aware of the Aurora shooting. First, condolences to those personally affected. I’ve lost people I cared about to similarly random violence, and it’s a hard thing to go through.

In the inevitable post-event media avalanche of opination I noted two items that particularly struck chords with me. Here’s the first.

This piece, by Jessica Wakeman in the Frisky (one also enjoys the irony in a professional journalist’s public profile) contains a few ideas that are harmful.

From the piece:

“I can respect and be touched by these men’s sacrifices. But I’m also wary of some byproducts of the heroism myth, the idea that a few good men will have courage under fire and put “women and children first.” ThePost crowed over these men’s “old-fashioned chivalry,” which are funny words to use, when you get right down to it. Why does masculinity have to have anything to do with heroic behavior? Their sacrifice was noble, sure. But in every telling of the “boyfriends risked their lives” story — and every boyfriend who then tells his girlfriend, “Sweetie, I would have done the same for you!” —  there’s an implication that heroism is a gendered concept.

Heroism has never had a gender: just tell that to Harriet Tubman, Clara Barton, or any of the female soldiers who risk their lives daily in our military…

[…]

I’ve been thinking a lot in recent days, too, about Jamie Rohrs, who left his child and girlfriend behind in the theater, got into his car, and drove away. He’s been getting a lot of flack for not behaving in the most noble of ways. Who knows how any of us would have reacted in that scenario? I would like to think that I would not have behaved as he did. And yet I feel bad for him too — he did, in my opinion, the wrong thing by leaving his loved ones behind in the theater and driving off. But there shouldn’t have to be this added burden of scorn on him because he acted “like a pussy,” as I’ve heard him called. He’s a human. He freaked out.  That’s real life — not the perpetuation of a myth.

Matt McQuinn, Jonathan Blunk, and Alex Teves may well be true heroes who flung themselves in front of their girlfriends’ to save their lives. That’s beyond noble; it is the greatest sacrifice.  But when we congratulate these individuals for their sacrifice, let’s congratulate them for being heroic people — not just heroic men.”

To take these one at a time:

Q) Why does masculinity have anything to do with heroic behavior?

A) Briefly, testosterone. Men take more risks than women because they are biologically less valuable than women, from a purely reproductive standpoint. It’s simple math. More men can die than women before the family (or humanity, if you want to go that far) dies out. Thus testosterone, sexual dimorphism, aggression, etc, which all feed into the cultural dynamic of masculinity which encourages male heroism as channeling of male characteristics into a socially beneficial outlet. That’s why you end up with things like this–not only the fact that men do things like this all the time but the fact that they are expected to do it and society encourages it through recognition and norms.

This is not to say women cannot be heroic (quick definition) but that physical courageousness, i.e. heroism is almost exclusively the province of men, and with good reason. Ms. Wakeman is confusing courage with heroism.

Why does this matter? Ms. Wakeman is operating on the assumption that gendered concepts are bad, that any sort of gender-specific behavior or characteristics are bad. This assumption is incorrect and harmful, not to mention also ironic on a web page that speaks specifically to “women’s issues” written by someone who majored in gender studies. She really ought to lay out the reasoning justifying her assumption before arguing for its implementation.

If you work to eradicate gender roles in an attempt to achieve a post-gendered society (whatever that means) then you are ignoring basic biological facts that strongly influence the way people behave. That these differences exist is a fact. That they are bad is opinion, and before arguing that they are bad and need correction, Ms. Wakeman should figure out what purpose they fill, which would take a book or two (or a lot of links) to walk through the evolutionary reasons why we are as we are. Her column is very nice and PC on a blog, but when you remove most of the luxury of security that we have as a safe law-abiding society (which we saw in Aurora), men need to be the heroic ones for their families.

So back to the case at hand: Don’t try to take from men the role that they are supposed to fill. If you do that, then the variables that drive male behavior don’t have appropriate outlets, and you end up with things like that pussy driving away from his family. Relieving that ass-hat of his obligation to his family–as a male and as a man–kinda sorta encourages behavior like being “deadbeat dad” pump-n-dump males, which is how men are programmed to act in the absence of things like social institutions. Which women then decry as a lack of commitment. So it’s a very regressive point of view to relieve men of their roles and responsibilities…

even in the face of not wanting to exclude women. Women can be and have certainly been physically heroic, but doing so is less their role than men’s. For instance, flipping Ms. Wakeman’s logic on its head, she ought to support (since heroism is not a purely male sport, and genders shouldn’t have exclusive roles so women can participate equally…) more women getting shot up in theaters in defense of their boyfriends, an idea that feels inherently wrong to most people. She ought to support full integration of women into combat arms in the military. She ought to support dismantling of any gender preference in family courts.

Further, she ought to logically stop complaining about regimes that oppress women, such as islamic states and various places in Africa. Since women are fully capable of being heroic people on the same level as men, they are fully capable of fending for themselves, right? We ought to relieve men of their responsibility to fix that whole situation, right? Except not, as shown by those less-civilized places where women need men to defend them and in some cases get rid of the a-holes who are doing bad things to them. Yet she will likely happily join a protest for women’s rights, oblivious of the fact that protesting is politics, politics is warfare by other means, and any sort of “peaceful” demonstration has to be backed with some sort of coercive force to be effective. When you find the source of that coercive force, it’s men with guns once you get through the structure of laws and etc that enable peaceful actions to exist and be effective. The only reason Ms. Wakeman can argue for non-gendered roles is because she’s living in a society built on male-based force applied through socially acceptable means.

If you take those socially acceptable means–i.e. roles–away, then you don’t have society. You could also address this by studying parenting, which is primarily but not exclusively the province of women, and how it complements men’s role of applying force.

Crush competition by hiring minorities and women

I was at a dinner the other night and a couple of the women I was talking with–the topic of the moment was womens’ associations, and why we didn’t have a Men’s Association–had more-or-less agreed that the assumption implicit in the existence of the Women’s Student Association at b-school was that women were inferior and somehow unable to cope with the business world.

One then brought up the well-worn and threadbare statistical offense called the “Gender pay gap” that women are only paid ~75% of what men earn.

So, here’s the scoop: Yes, on its face, in aggregate, women receive less than men do in pay. So:

(Σ Pay received by all men) / (Σ Pay received by all women)

conceivably could be .7.

Note the potential for statistical trickery. For instance, the demographics of the US are such that, roughly, there are 102,670,000 adult men and 103,130,000 adult women (between ages of 15-64… yeah, I know, not exactly 18+ but roll with me here). Let’s assume for illustrative purposes that the median national income (same article) is $46,000. Let’s also assume that 5 million adult women stay home because they’re married and have kids.

If we multiply $46k by the resulting (#Men) and by (#Women) then we find that women only earn 96% of what men do! Right off the bat, and that’s just from Wikipedia.

Anyway, point being is that this stat, while perhaps technically true, does not capture the nuance required to assert that women suffer for pay in the marketplace. The gross numbers above don’t capture variables like gender distribution across education levels, types of work, life choices, years experience, and other factors, which are in RealWorldVille factored into pay decisions. Comparing a female teacher’s salary with a male investment banker’s isn’t a valid comparison for talking about pay discrimination.

Now, there is probably some small component of pay gaps attributable to discrimination. I can acknowledge the possibility of maybe 5%  .5% or something like that, but if we start talking in the 25% range, then we’re getting crazy.

But I know a good opportunity when I see one, so I stipulated that she meant unequal pay for equal work. She agreed. I then noted that I’d be the first one to start hiring women, and lots of them, since I could get 4 women to work for me for the price of 3 men. A similar logic applies to the racial wage gap, except apparently my savings would be even greater–on the order of 5 minorities hired for 3 white men instead of 4 women for 3 men.

Obviously, I would crush my bigoted and discriminatory competition on labor costs.

Result: Silence, spluttering, and a dirty look.

Economics: It works, bitches.